[gmuslera]

Nothing had happened so far, so odds are diminishing with time, not growing up. At least for most people. Alert fatigue, if you want to call it somehow.

The potential is there. If it can happen, given enough time, it surely will. But the odds of happening in a specific moment, at least while tensions are not higher than when it didn't happened anything in the past, may be seen as lower.

Reality is different than what it used to be in the 60-70's. But that also means that new factors can be in play, for good and bad.

In any case, I think is more sure to be afraid of climate change. It won't blow up tomorrow, but is something that is escalating up, and it may be trigger for more negative things, including, but not limited to, world conflicts.