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by skwee357 573 days ago
The thing is, I no longer trust any news source. They all exist to serve their agenda, while rarely providing the real picture. So there is no way for me, as a regular citizen, to truly know what happens in the world or a particular regional conflict.

So while I do worry that there might be a bigger war, I also realize that the picture painted by the news, or the "promises" that different country leaders make, are meant to serve two goals: (1) keeping the general public in constant fear, and (2) making them (the leader) appear strong/decisive in a regional/international arena.

3 comments

> The thing is, I no longer trust any news source. They all exist to serve their agenda, while rarely providing the real picture. So there is no way for me, as a regular citizen, to truly know what happens in the world or a particular regional conflict.

This is what the authoritarians want. It’s not actually hard to understand the major trends are in the world, with accurate information available, but that’s bad for their interests and so they spread the message you’re repeating now to make people more likely to support them. We saw this dramatically in the United States where the ability to answer basic factual questions correctly inversely correlated with supporting the winning candidate, or earlier support for Brexit, but it’s been a staple of living in countries like Russia or Hungary, and a key part of the fossil fuel industry’s effort not to get stuck with the bill for climate change.

There’s plenty of legitimate criticism of organizations like the NYT or BBC, but if you follow them you’ll have a much more accurate understanding of the world than someone who consumes Murdoch media or, worse, whatever’s floating around social media. There is objective truth in the world, and every study shows a significant gradient here.

I find statement like "there is objective truth" - dangerous.

The objective truth in the 70s was, "smoking is good for you". Since then, the narrative changed. Politics, and even s̶c̶i̶e̶n̶c̶e̶ scientific research (to a degree) -- are subjective, despite what world leaders or politicians want you to believe. You can manipulate the data in a way that suits you or your agenda, you can buy scientific researches, etc. It's happening right now in all major, and minor conflicts.

Statements like "objective truth" tend to remind me of the grumpy old engineer who thinks that his way of doing things "is the only correct way", and rejects any modern approach to software engineering.

Now, I don't say you should ignore all statements, or news source. You should be informed enough to a degree you think is relevant for you, while understanding that there will be no objective truth, and unless you have a motivation (be it power, money, or something else) to continue to believe in your established world view, you need to be willing to revisit your "objective truth" every once in a while.

> The objective truth in the 70s was, "smoking is good for you". Since then, the narrative changed.

Your misunderstanding of the history doesn’t mean it was ever good for you. People didn’t call cigarettes “coffin nails” because they thought it was good for you and e.g. the specific lung cancer link was known at least as far back as the 1920s. The reason why it wasn’t named earlier is the same reason you’re wrong about it today: it was an enormously profitable industry and they were able to produce the ads you’re remembering which got far more attention than those pesky scientists who had been correct for half a century by that time – and many smokers blamed people for not telling them earlier, even though they had downplayed the warnings given at the time. A very similar story unfolded with climate change where people like to say that it was confused or contradictory for a long time when it was settled by the late 1970s because they didn’t want to admit having given equal weight to the fossil fuel lobbyists as they did climate scientists.

That’s the key distinction here: we have processes for verifying and testing theories. Yes, scientific research has had fraud but we know about those because their work has been critically examined. We should expect that everywhere rather than giving up on the concept.

I would say it differently. Even using your example, "smoking is good for you" is objectively less true than "smoking is bad for you". We know that now.

The problem is that 1) we don't always have enough data to know what is true, and 2) we have a lot of people working as hard as they can to obscure the truth in order to push their own agenda.

All those post-modernist philosophers that I scoffed at were on to something: If we cannot determine the truth from the data available to us, then in practice, there is no truth. That may not have been the point they were trying to make, but for us who are living in it, it works out the same.

> The objective truth in the 70s was, "smoking is good for you".

Bollocks. Even as early as the 1950s there was a widely known link between smoking and cancer, and a 1964 Surgeon General's report said, unequivocally, that smoking causes cancer.

Hell, even in the 1600s tobacco was regarded as potentially dangerous. King James the VI of Scotland and I of England wrote, in 1604, the ‘Counterblaste to Tobacco’, where he talked about its negative impacts.

The "objective truth" was that capitalism doesn't care about your health, and ad campaigns were able to squash every attempt at getting people to quit.

As a strong emotion, creating fear is an effective means to an end, but rarely/never an ultimate goal. If you really want to understand what's going on, don't stop at "they just want to scare me".

As far as the news are concerned, they just want viewers / advertising customers / money in most cases.

I doubt you can "really understand" what's going on without you being directly involved in said conflict, either as a tool for executing a particular agenda, or as a decision maker.
Sure, you can't understand everything, but it's not like you can't understand anything.
Yes there is. For example there is war in Ukraine and in Gaza and you can find more information on those digging deeper. Not trusting any news source and never combining news to "unbias" them is same thinking that leads to " maybe they are lying to us and the earth is flat". There is always a solution.
You can find information, that's true. But for an ordinary citizen, this is usually where it ends. All kinds of feelings such as "being afraid of world conflict", is your interpretation of the found information, either because you've reached this conclusion yourself, or because you live in an echo chamber where this conclusion is the accepted one (see: Russia being anti-west).

While I don't discourage people to seek information, and reach conclusions, in today's world, unless you are directly involved in the conflict/decision-making, the chance for you to get accurate information is an extremely hard task. News either take things out of context, or simply lack professionalism due to poor journalism, lack of time and or desire to perform thorough deep dives, etc. Social media is filled with fake information, both as a tool in the information war, as well as by "influencers" who keep reposting everything that brings them views.

And in the end, the saying "history is written by the victors", was, is, and forever will be - true.

> in today's world, unless you are directly involved in the conflict/decision-making, the chance for you to get accurate information is an extremely hard task

Any time in history it was like that, this hasn't changed in "today's world". Today's world just has a lot more, and much faster paced information. There's a bombardment of it at all times if you don't shield yourself from it.

It's this bombardment that creates the exhaustion stated in the GP comment "I don't trust any news", it takes a lot of effort to receive information, parse it through opaque biases, filter it with knowledge about the bigger picture, balance it out between conflicting incentives/motives, and extract some kind of useful piece of information.

Accelerate that with the advent of social media, and bullshit/disinformation/misinformation is drowning us everywhere. Some people retreat to their bubbles, others keep treading water trying to make sense of what they read/hear knowing that the "truth" is probably not reachable, and others simply give up because it's overwhelming.

> News either take things out of context, or simply lack professionalism due to poor journalism, lack of time and or desire to perform thorough deep dives, etc.

All of these issues also boil down to: there's no money in news, even less for deep dives, the media who was responsible for that in earlier decades has lost its readership and with it the only major funding they had: selling eyeballs. A few vehicles managed to ride the storm but now are so fragile in their funding that they can't investigate the hands that feed them, it's quite dire...

Right. "Nothing is true anyway" is how the truth is buried in Russia with a sophisticated media control operation, and look at the consequences. There is a truth, and it's neither particularly hidden nor extraordinary in most cases.