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by maxclark 575 days ago
Is this really a $4B investment, or credits on AWS?

AWS margins are close to 40%, so the real cost of this "investment" would be way less than the press release.

2 comments

https://techcrunch.com/2024/11/22/anthropic-raises-an-additi...

> "This new CASH infusion brings Amazon’s total investment in Anthropic to $8 billion while maintaining the tech giant’s position as a minority investor, Anthropic said."

ok but how much cash, really.. looks ambiguous.

ps- plenty of people turning a blind eye towards rampant valuation inflation and "big words" statements on deals. Where is the grounding on the same dollars that are used at a grocery store? The whole thing is fodder for instability in a big way IMHO

I don't really see any ambiguity? If the reporting is accurate, the whole $4B is cash.
whether cash or credit, it's all going right back to AWS
This is great for creative accounting. AWS now has 4bn in equity and 4bn in additional sales.
So it's a $2.4B investment, announced as $4B.

Significantly less, still a huge investment.

I look forward to the moment the sunk cost fallacy shows up. "We've invested $20B into this, and nothing yet. Shall we invest $4B more? Maybe it will actually return something this time." That will be fun.

It could be the anthropic models makes bedrock attractive and profitable and more importantly medium term competitive against azure. It seems worth it.