[mdp2021]

Better formulation:

a one-in-a-million event that is tried a million times has a ~63% chance of happening.

[fsckboy]

yes, that doesn't suffer from gambler's fallacy, but actually surprises people and makes them forget about the issue you're talking about and focus on the probabilities that they don't understand and have no tools to understand... and that's when the 1 in a million event takes place, while they are distracted

[mdp2021]

> that they don't understand and have no tools to understand

Why are they not scholarized? What are they doing in the wild? There's an infestation and it is mentioned marginally, as opposed to red-level crisis?!

> while they are distracted

They should be trained towards the conditions for focus pre-emptively!

[orf]

We live in the real world though. As you know.

[mdp2021]

Yes Orb, and it's a problem, and that's why we engineer! ;)