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by perrygeo 586 days ago
True, if you're using LLMs as a completion engine or to generate scaffolding it's still very useful! But we have to acknowledge that's by far the easiest part of programming. IDEs and deterministic dev tools have done that (very well) for decades.

The LLM gains are in efficiency for rote tasks, not solving the other hard problems that make up 98% of the day. The idea that LLMs are going to advance software in any substantial way seems implausible to me - It's an efficiency tool in the same category as other IDE features, an autocomplete search engine on steroids, not even remotely approaching AGI (yet).

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> The idea that LLMs are going to advance software in any substantial way seems implausible to me

I disagree. They won't do that for existing developers. But they will make it so that tech-savy people will be able to do much more. And they might even make it so that one-off customization per person will become feasable.

Imagine you want to sort hackernews comments by number of character inline in your browser. Tell the AI to add this feature and maybe it will work (just for you). That's some ways I can see substantial changes happen in the future.