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by creatonez 586 days ago
> They serve an incredibly important function: letting people learn what’s happening in the world around us by observing a single number (e.g. % win probability).

I've heard this point argued a few different ways, and I have to say: this is the most idiotic way of analyzing the world I can imagine. Don't listen to gamblers or people who think superforecasters are a real thing. Studying the world and reflecting on it thoughtfully will get you a lot further than these probabilities ever will.