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by potato3732842 590 days ago
I hate this sort of "everything that requires subjective judgement is luck" trope that is pervasive on HN and similar parts of the internet.

The line between luck and skill is blurry. The captain's job is to avoid the preconditions for failure. Maybe that means a different route, maybe that means scheduling such that you're awake for the sketchy stuff. Yes, all of this is subjective and has tradeoffs, that's why it's skilled work people take years to develop the skills for.