[halfmatthalfcat]

Wayne County was never going to be the lynch pin of the election and even so, exit polling is notoriously fickle. If we're taking exit polling at face value, across the country the economy was #1 followed by preserving democracy and immigration. Geopolitics is probably at the bottom of the top 10 nationally.

[knodi]

Dearborn alone voted 50% for Trump, 22% for Jill and 28% for Harris. Thats 50-100k votes right there. A clear message and an axe to the foot of Palestine.

[halfmatthalfcat]

Looking at the Dearborn results[1], it looks like Jill pulled 10k votes at 20%. That's not winning MI.

[1] https://dearborn.gov/sites/default/files/2024-11/UNOFFICIAL%...

[lanternfish]

No, but you have to consider that the voted-for-jill-stein signal is considerably dampened from the didn't-vote-for-harris-because-of-Palestine signal; most of those people just wouldn't vote at all

[aguaviva]

Sounds more than plausible, and indeed likely. It's also quite possible that Biden's gaffe in calling Trump supporters "garbage", on its own, dinged Harris's campaign more than all the fallout from the Israel-Gaza conflict. Just to give a sense of what really moves the needle in American politics.