[jtgverde]

Great find on the knowledge navigator, I had never seen it but I was a toddler when it was released haha.

It's interesting how prescient it was, but I'm more struck wondering--would anyone in 1987 have predicted it would take 40+ years to achieve this? Obviously this was speculative at the time but I know history is rife with examples of AI experts since the 60s proclaiming AGI was only a few years away

Is this time really different? There's certainly been a huge jump in capabilities in just a few years but given the long history of overoptimistic predictions I'm not confident

[azinman2]

You don’t need AGI to build that experience.

I’m the past there was a lot of overconfidence in the ability for things to scale. See Cyc (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyc)

[fmbb]

> It's interesting how prescient it was, but I'm more struck wondering--would anyone in 1987 have predicted it would take 40+ years to achieve this? Obviously this was speculative at the time but I know history is rife with examples of AI experts since the 60s proclaiming AGI was only a few years away

40+ makes it sound like you think it will ever be achieved. I'm not convinced.

[dotancohen]

Maybe after fusion.