| > I'll take a stab at changing your mind. Not the parent but this doesn’t seem mind changing, because what you describe is the normal/boring route to slightly better productivity using new tools without the breathless hype. And the 20% increase you mention of course depends a lot on what you’re doing, so for many types of work you’d be much closer to zero. I’m curious about the claims of “power users” that are talking very excitedly about a brave new world. Are they fooling themselves, or trying to fool others, or working at jobs where 90% of their work is boilerplate drudgery, or what exactly? Inevitably it’s all of the above.. and some small percentage of real power users that could probably teach the rest of us cool stuff about their unique workflows. Not sure how to find the signal in all the noise though. So personally, if I were to write “change my mind”, what I’d really mean is something like “convince me there are real power users already out there in the wild, using tools that are open to the public today”. GP mentioned machine assisted translation of a huge code base being almost completely hands-off. If that were true and as easy as advertised then one might expect, for example, that it were trivial to just rewrite media wiki or Wordpress in rails or Django with a few people in a week. This is on the easier side of what I’d confidently label as a game-changingly huge productivity boost btw, and is a soft problem chosen because of the availability of existing code examples, mere translation over original work, etc. Not sure we’re there yet. |
I wonder about this also. Maybe it's just some of each? Clearly some people fool themselves, the AI companies are doing marketing, some people do have boring jobs...