[plantain]

There is plenty of evidence - UKMO reliably outperforms GFS, as does DWD and many other centres.

https://wmolcdnv.ecmwf.int/scores/mean/msl

[philipwhiuk]

But the forecasting hasn't declined. It's better than it was.

[blueelephanttea]

I would love to see a multi-year skill plot for all global models similar to what is commonly shared for GFS vs. ECMWF. Instead of having to parse a bunch of individual month comparisons for specific observations.

Regardless, my criticism is towards the evidence presented in the article and the framing of the article.

[lispisok]

Like this?

https://emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/verification/global/gfs/ops/...