I never did that kind of analysis, but the point is largely moot. They are going to get the monies bar some kind of event that completely changes the rules of the game.
That said, at certain point, even US government won't be able to bail out everyone and everyone is holding out their hands lately.
Intel's new Fabs in AZ started construction in 2021, before the CHIPS act has passed. It has had a gross profit in the tens of billions yearly and right now has ~$30Bn cash on hand. Not a single penny has yet been given from the CHIPS act to Intel [1]. So no.
That said, at certain point, even US government won't be able to bail out everyone and everyone is holding out their hands lately.