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by ben_w 603 days ago
Depends how long the cable lasts, maintenance costs.

Some of the cables that start forest fires in CA have been there for a century by that point.

Even at 17e9 USD, if this lasts a century, and is in full use for that time, it's adding 1.1¢/kWh to the price of delivery:

http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1.75%20GW%2A100%20years...

I could easily imagine them doing this, and another similar one to India or twice as far to Kenya, and getting a decent amount of PV at night as a consequence.

(OTOH, as I'm not a grid or marine engineer, I am ready to be mocked for suggesting an underwater cable may last a century).

5 comments

1) That is a pretty huge cost when wholesale cost of solar is only a few cents to begin with.

2) That equation ignores the time value of money, which is absolutely relevant. A dollar spent today is not the same as a dollar saved 100 years from now.

What's the cost of 12,000 hectares of land in Singapore? Since that is the area that the solar farm on the Australian end will take up
Im not saying local solar is an option. I'm saying the cost seems incredibly high.
Roof or otherwise?

And if you have skyscrapers you have lots of side surface area to capture solar energy as well

Is adding side-panels to skyscrapers a solved problem? It doesn’t seem nearly as easy or mature as rooftop or grid-scale PV.
For 1, as this crosses timezones, the cost comparison has to be with storage rather than local generation.

2 is fair.

Mind you that's completely ignoring the opportunity cost of investing that initial cost elsewhere.
But it seems unlikely that this kind of private capital would be available for such a nuclear project. Nor would the expertise or industrial capacity be the same.
>> getting a decent amount of PV at night as a consequence.

Ring the equator with solar panels and then run cables north/south to wherever it is needed, providing consistent supply 24/7. It works well enough in Dyson Sphere Program.

Sure, if you can push infinite power through a wire with zero losses. Doesn't work so well with reality constraints.

I've never played DSP but I'm thinking of Factorio. Night falls equally across the world so you have to provide power from somewhere else at night or let your stuff go dark (which can actually be sane--I've put up radars with solar without any backup--it will show you the spread of the nests fine.) You have to start with burning wood or coal for power, solar comes before adequate storage. Thus if you go the solar route there's a range where you have solar, some storage and some steam. Unfortunately, while the game correctly prioritizes solar over steam it puts steam over storage. Thus the efficient approach is to put your steam behind a switch that keeps it isolated until your storage drops low enough. I've had a couple hundred megawatts flowing through one of the starter tech poles--it doesn't melt?!

Sure, maths says it's fine.

Only takes a few hundred billion USD of aluminium for that ring to have a cross section of a square meter, which is enough to lower the resistance to 1 Ω.

Of course, only China actually produces enough aluminium for this, and you'd want to divide it between several cables both for redundancy and because putting 2 TW though one cable at any plausible voltage will give it a surface magnetic field strong enough to prevent most tools working on it, and the political issues are going to be huge, but on paper it's fine.

I mean, storage might be an easier option ;)

There are many alternatives, but I have a 10kWh LiFePO4 pack that is sufficient for my house 95% of the time.

There have been great strides recently in battery recycling and new chemistries. Not to mention alternatives to batteries.

To me this seems like one of those problems that seems impossible until the economics start driving innovation. I think we are heading in the right direction.

I don't know if anyone would mock you, but no, it won't last 100 years. Not without a whole lot of work and a lot of things going exactly right for a hundred years.

Also, why, on earth, would anyone in Kenya need solar energy from Australia? It has some of the best wind resources on the planet in the Rift Valley alone. Not to mention its own ridiculously high levels of solar available. And all that before we've even talked about the expense and difficulty of laying such a line. Add in unparalleled mineral availability in Africa and the Chinese building out manufacturing in Kenya. (Heck, all over the EAC actually.) I just have a hard time even seeing storage batteries as much of a problem for Kenya in the near future.

You need places like Singapore. Where the resources are unequal to the need for this whole thing to make sense.

> Also, why, on earth, would anyone in Kenya need solar energy from Australia?

Was thinking more that Kenya and Australia would sell electricity to Singapore during Singapore's night.

But Kenya <-> Australia also works, for nighttime coverage.

Wind may be better for each though, I've not looked at that kind of specific.

I'd assume Kenya would also be great for geothermal, having been past (IIRC) Olkaria V in Hell's Gate.

There are nuclear power plants today in operation for 70 years, and whose life can be further extended. Considering our knowledge and safety today, it's not improbable that a nuclear power plant constructed today would last a century too, with regular maintenance.