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by dapperdrake 614 days ago
Be wary of the bounds of your confidence intervals.

Excel sheets got too large for my personal projections. Built a super simple static web app[1] as a replacement. It handles inflation better and provides a (very) simple monthly mortality model. It shows you select quantiles and the median(!). VaR and CVaR didn’t yield obvious insights and were removed. It’s free.

Have about a dozen happy users already.

Really think through your CAC, LTV and outgoing cash-flows.

Heretical idea: Pour money or cash into QA and watching your customers over their shoulders to solve their actual problems. Not what you think or hope their problem is.

If you have questions, then please, feel free to ask.

[1] https://dapperdrake.neocities.org/investment-calculator