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by JumpCrisscross 611 days ago
> space shuttle was reusable

SpaceX builds vehicles. The Shuttle was “reusable” because they needed a term between the default for transportation capital expenditures (e.g. trains, planes, cars and ships) and the modified missiles that defined post-War spaceflight. “Reusable” in the Shuttle’s context meant months of specialist overhaul time and the cost of a Falcon 9 launch in SRB booster replacements alone [0].

At the end of the day, in 2010, “the incremental cost per flight of the Space Shuttle was $409 million, or $14,186 per kilogram” [1]. ($591mm and $20,512 in 2024 dollars, respectively [2].) SpaceX’s prices per kg are around $3,170 on Falcon 9 [3] and $1,520 for Falcon Heavy [4]. Starship should bring those costs below $1000.

[0] https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=51959.0

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Shuttle_program

[2] https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/

[3] https://www.spacex.com/media/Capabilities&Services.pdf LEO

[4] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_Heavy LEO, theoretical

1 comments

> Starship should bring those costs below $1000.

It might even bring the costs below $100/kg.

It might, but it's also at a scale where people can dust off the old plans for orbital rings and ask if this time the economics work out.

(My guess is the economics are fine, but the politics would kill it on earth, so the moon or mars will get one, but that's just an interested amateur opinion).

Once you put something big in the LEO, you'll have to be able to boost its orbit indefinitely, because the orbit will otherwise slowly decay.
If you have the infrastructure to build an orbital ring, you have the infrastructure to keep it supplied too
There is some SciFi story about civilization collapsing and the survivors worrying that the sky will fall on them hidden in there.
Gotta make the individual pieces small enough to mostly burn up completely on rentry.
Already exists, Chasm City by Alastair Reynolds. They absolutely trash orbit by planning very badly and over-packing habitats.
Contiguous rings filling an entire orbit don't have much air resistance, and what little they do have is small in comparison to their momentum.

But yes, eventually things decay.

That depends on how high the orbit is. If it is high enough, the decay will take centuries.
The L in LEO means we're talking about orbits that are not very big.
By definition, LEO extends up to 2,000 km. At that altitude orbital lifetimes can exceed 10,000 years.

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Orbital_Debris_Lifet...

IIRC, above something like geostationary they tend to decay upwards? Though the old orbital ring white paper wasn't suggesting anything like that, this was an alternative to needing to go so high in the first place.

(I may be misremembering or getting confused with a thing specific to tidal locking?)

That is indeed what you get with tidal forces - bodies closer than geostationary orbit lose angular momentum and decay inward, bodies further out steal angular momentum from Earth and move outward.

I suppose the same effect is there with satellites much smaller than the moon, but it would be tiny.

I wonder if they could have an orbit high enough to move away from earth with some kind of drag cables dangling from them into low orbit to counter the outward movement. Would that work?
Presuming it’s in LEO. When and if we ever get around to building these things they probably won’t be in LEO at least not for long. Some of them might not even be constructed from materials launched from Earth.
There are relatively stable orbits over the equator.
How does the orbit or an orbital ring decay?