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by LaundroMat 619 days ago
So if I get this right, there is an infinitely small possibility that a cracked egg returns to its initial state. Imagine that happening and being put on video. We'd all believe we're living in a simulation and witnessed a glitch.

No-one would believe the scientists explaining that although highly improbable, the uncracked egg does make scientific sense.

2 comments

It's not really whether it makes scientific sense or not, it's just that it's so very highly improbable (really, really improbable) that other explanations make more sense: the video's a fake, it's mass hysteria, or even that we're living in a simulation.
I think your question mainly demonstrates how much trouble most people have about reasoning about exponentials. Not intending any personal insult, but unless you do it regularly (ie, probably are a physicist), you will use a term like "highly improbable" when referring to quantities that can only be expressed in scientific notation.

In other words, most humans have bad intuition about large numbers. And I'm not talking about "small" large numbers like "how many Teslas could Elon buy". I mean "how many atoms are in a chicken egg" (and what are their statistical properties at room temperature)