[benreesman]

A few years? Sonnet 3.5 is a better API-mediated solution today, LLaMA 3.2 is one full turn of the crank from GPT-4-1106-preview parity.

It’s dramatically easier to list the researchers or executives of any note who remain than the ones that have left.

This is like when John Romero did Ion Storm without Carmack. Maybe, maybe, GPT-5 is tracking as a viable family of training runs today, it certainly wasn’t 6 months ago when it was already badly late.

And even if it is: there won’t be another on the handful of world-class research staff they have left. Now you get Canvas and shit that even they don’t think will stick.