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by whimsicalism
630 days ago
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I do not count CGP grey or other viral youtubers among the segment of people I was counting as bullish about the scaling hypothesis. I’m talking about actual academics like Ilya, Hinton, etc. Regardless, I just read the transcript for that video and he doesn’t give any timeline so it seems premature to crow that he was wrong. |
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If you watch the video he's clearly saying this was was something that was already happening. Keep in mind it was made 10 years ago, and in it he says "this isn't science fiction; the robots are here right now." When bringing up the 25% unemployment rate he says "just the stuff we talked about today, the stuff that already works, can push us over that number pretty soon."
Baxter being able to do everything a worker can for a fraction of the price definitely wasn't true.
Here's what he said about self-driving cars. Again, this was 2014: "Self driving cars aren't the future - they're here and they work."
"The transportation industry in the united states employs about 3 million people. Extrapolating worldwide, that's something like 70 million jobs at a minimum. These jobs are over."
> I’m talking about actual academics like Ilya, Hinton, etc.
Which of Hinton's statements are you claiming were dismissed by people here but were later proven to be correct?