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by bmitc 631 days ago
How exactly does a blog post from OpenAI about a preview release address my comment or make fancy autocomplete comparisons untenable?
1 comments

It shows that the LLM is capable of reasoning.
No, it doesn't. You can read more when that was first posted to Hacker News. If I recall and understand correctly, they're just using the output of sublayers as training data for the outermost layer. So in other words, they're faking it and hiding that behind layers of complexity

The other day, I asked Copilot to verify a unit conversion for me. It gave an answer different than mine. Upon review, I had the right number. Copilot had even written code that would actually give the right answer, but their example of using that code performed the actual calculations wrong. It refused to accept my input that the calculation was wrong.

So not only did it not understand what I was asking and communicating to it, it didn't even understand its own output! This is not reasoning at any level. This happens all the time with these LLMs. And it's no surprise really. They are fancy, statistical copy cats.

From an intelligence and reasoning perspective, it's all smoke and mirrors. It also clearly has no relation to biological intelligent thinking. A primate or cetacean brain doesn't take the billions of dollars and how much energy to train on terabytes of data. While it's fine that AI might be artificial and not an analog of biological intelligence, these LLMs bear no resemblance to anything remotely close to intelligence. We tell students all the time to "stop guessing". That's what I want to yell at these LLMs all the time.

Dude, it's not the LLM that does the reasoning. Rather it's the layers and layers of scaffolding around LLM that simulate reasoning.

The moment 'tooling' became a thing for LLM, it reminded me 'rules' for expert system which caused one of the AI winter. The number of 'tools' you need to solve real use cases will be untenable soon enough.

Well, I agree that the part that does the reasoning isn't an LLM in the naive form.

But that "scaffolding" seems to be an integral part of the neural net that has been built. It's not some Python for-loop that has been built on top of the neural network to brute force the search pattern.

If that part isn't part of the LLM, then o1 isn't really an LLM anymore, but a new kind of model. One that can do reasoning.

And if we chose to call it an LLM, well then now LLM's can also do reasoning intrinsically.

Reasoning, just like intelligence (of which it is part) isn't an all or nothing capability. o1 can now reason better than before (in a way that is more useful in some contexts than others), but it's not like a more basic LLM can't reason at all (i.e. generate an output that looks like reasoning - copy reasoning present in the training set), or that o1's reasoning is human level.

From the benchmarks it seems like o1-style reasoning-enhancement works best for mathematical or scientific domains where it's a self-consistent axiom-driven domain such that combining different sources for each step works. It might also be expected to help in strict rule-based logical domains such as puzzles and games (wouldn't be surprising to see it do well as a component of a Chollet ARC prize submission).

o1 has moved "reasoning" from training time to partly something happening at inference time.

I'm thinking of this difference as analogus to the difference between my (as a human) first intution (or memory) about a problem to what I can achieve by carefully thinking about it for a while, where I can gradually build much more powerful arguments, verify if they work and reject parts that don't work.

If you're familiar with chess terminology, it's moving from a model that can just "know" what the best move is to one that combines that with the ability to "calculate" future moves for all of the most promising moves, and several moves deep.

Consider Magnus Carlsen. If all he did was just did the first move that came to his mind, he could still beat 99% of humanity at chess. But to play 2700+ rated GM's, he needs to combine it with "calculations".

Not only that, but the skill of doing such calculations must also be trained, not only by being able to calculate with speed and accuracy, but also by knowing what parts of the search tree will be useful to analyze.

o1 is certainly optimized for STEM problems, but not necessarily only for using strict rule-based logic. In fact, even most hard STEM problems need more than the ability to perform deductive logic to solve, just like chess does. It requires strategical thinking and intuition about what solution paths are likely to be fruitful. (Especially if you go beyond problems that can be solved by software such as WolframAlpha).

I think the main reason STEM problems was used for training is not so much that they're solved using strict rule-based solving strategies, but rather because a large number of such problems exist that have a single correct answer.