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by JumpCrisscross
638 days ago
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> Ending a conflict won't affect the probabilities compared to escalating it? If affects it. We just can't universally say which way. Appeasement is the classic example of escalatory de-escalation. But a better one is the Cold War: America or the USSR entering or withdrawing from a particular theatre, e.g. Vietnam or Afghanistan, was on average orthogonal to risk of nuclear war. Whether a peace deal enhances or damages the peace is context dependent and can swing either way. > De-escalation through escalation will end up in the the history books as the dumbest things western politicians believed in 2024 What a strange comment to make in the context of nuclear strategy. Should the U.S. unilaterally dismantle its nuclear deterrent? |
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