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by s3tt3mbr1n1 635 days ago
For this reason I read Andrew Yang’s “The War on Normal People”. Besides UBI and “social credits”, I don’t see him offer that many other solutions to this problem. UBI also still needs to be proven as far as I’m aware.

When o1 was released, I ran an internal eval and saw it plainly outperforming our highly educated colleagues. I had goosebumps, and haven’t been able to sleep well for days. This will dramatically impact society in 2-5 years.

Do you know of any relevant material related to this?

2 comments

o1 was what got you stirred up? It honestly feels like an incremental change at best to me. I had similar feelings about gpt-3.5, but since then my fears have normalized into a sort of dull, typical (for me) cynicism (so no sleepless nights).
https://users.manchester.edu/Facstaff/SSNaragon/Online/100-F...

https://intelligence.org/files/IEM.pdf

Welcome to the anxiety party, it sucks in here. As someone who's been working on AI theory full time for ~1 year, I desperately wish we could go back to the days of my faraway youth (5 years ago) before intuition was cracked on accident by spellcheck algorithms. I agree with him that it holds the key to massive prosperity, but selfishly, it's gonna upend my life and the lives of everyone I love. Already has for me, as I grapple with how to (ethically) pay rent while spending all day lighting the Warning Beacons of Gondor...

The only real answer, IMHO, is to vote for political systems that put control of society (and AI) in the hands of the public. Call it socialism, call it Georgism, call it anarcho-free-market-space-communism, call it whatever you want; there's no way that "a tiny number of people have immense inherited power" (capitalism) and "people fundamentally understand themselves as members of a tribe put in opposition to all other tribes by default" (nationalism) mesh well with an intelligence explosion.

Here's to hoping the haters are right, and we all turn out to be wrong! I'll be thrilled if Sam Altman is just a rich company leader in 10 years, and intuitive algorithms are still confined to direct usage (chatbots).