[littlestymaar]

> Can you confidently say that an LLM won’t be better than an average 22 year old coder within these 30 years?

No 22 years old coder is better than the open source library he's using taken straight from github, and yet he's the one who's getting paid for it.

People who claim IA will disrupt software development are just missing the big picture here: software jobs are already unrecognizable from what it was just 20 years ago. AI is just another tool, and as long as execs won't bother use the tool by themselves, then they'll pay developers to do it instead.

Over the past decades, writing code has become more and more efficient (better programming languages, better tooling, then enormous open source libraries) yet the number of developers kept increasing, it's Jevons paradox[1] in its purest form. So if past tells us anything, is that AI is going to create many new software developer jobs! (because the amount of people able to ship significant value to a customer is going to skyrocket, and customers' needs are a renewable resource).

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox