[orzig]

Three, though not slam dunks:

1. What other course of study are you confident would be better given an AI future? If there's a service sector job that you feel really called to, I guess you could shadow someone for a few days to see if you'd really like it?

2. Having spent a few years managing business dashboards for users, less than 25% ever routinely used the "user friendly" functionality we built to do semi-custom analysis. We needed 4 full time analytics engineers to spend at least half their time answering ad hoc questions that could have been self-served, despite an explicit goal of democratizing data. All that is to say; don't over estimate how quickly this will be taken up, even if it could technically do XYZ task (eventually, best-of-10) if prompted properly.

3. I don't know where you live, but I've spent most of my career 'competing' with developers in India who are paid 33-50% as much. They're literally teammates, it's not a hypothetical thing. And they've never stopped hiring in the US. I haven't been in the room for those decisions and don't want to open that can of worms here, but suffice to say it's not so simple as "cheaper per LoC wins"