[Alupis]

This is a really odd take to have.

By the "past year's worth of development" I assume you mean the layoffs? Have you been in the industry (or any industry) long? If so, you would have seen many layoffs and bulk-hiring frenzies over the years... it doesn't mean anything about the industry as a whole and it's certainly a foolish thing to change career asperations over.

Specifically regarding the LLM - anyone actually believing these models will replace developers and software engineers, truly, deeply does not understand software development at even the most basic fundamental levels. Ignore these people - they are the snake oil salesmen of our modern times.

[jimhefferon]

I assume the poster meant how much progress the models have made. Roughly late high school capability to late college-ish. Project forward five years.

[baq]

Predicting exponential functions is a fool’s errand. The tiniest error in your initial observation compounds real fast and we can’t even tell if we’re still in the exponential phase of the sigmoid.