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by idiocrat 641 days ago
As with usual exponential growth -- do not blink.

The exponential growth is that you see nothing for long time, until it is too late.

Once you blinked you will find the HN site is full of articles about the minimal-invasive brain microsurgery startups getting funded billions of dollars. And that we are in the midst of another tech bubble.

6 comments

Minimally invasive is the biggest issue. It’s gonna involve removing a portion of your skull for the forseeable future, and even if it doesn’t it’ll be brain surgery. I think ai-driven surgery-free bci would be more consumer viable, but it’s not clear whether such bci can be done effectively with electrodes far as im aware. I think it’ll be a medical product and an extreme niche of high-performance gaming or something, if anything non-medical exists at all, for a long time.
Here's an article from a few years ago, reviewing "over 50 years of brain-computer interface history": https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7824107/

I'm not ready to declare exponential growth in anything but hype levels, yet; I don't see any great leaps forward concerning the fundamental problems faced by the field.

Relax. We have at least two more years of AI-everything hype and startups to endure before we can change bandwagons.
There seems to be no particular reason to expect exponential growth here to me. Can you explain why you'd expect that?
Like self-driving? :)
Crazy how all Teslas have been self-driving robotaxis earning passive income for their owners since 2016. Truly this man will never do a flim flam. ;)
Like self-landing rockets. :)
>Once you blinked you will find the HN site is full of articles about the minimal-invasive brain microsurgery startups getting funded billions of dollars. And that we are in the midst of another tech bubble.

I think Neuralink is going to be more like SpaceX, not like Bitcoin.