[tfehring]

Manifold [0] has markets on this sort of thing, but it primarily uses fake money. (They're working on a real-money "sweepstakes" thing, which I'm not super familiar with.) If you're outside the US and looking for a real-money market, Polymarket [1] is probably your best bet. In the US, real-money prediction market contracts are regulated by the CFTC in the US, so availability of contracts is pretty limited; Kalshi [2] would be the most likely option, but I doubt they have anything on this topic.

[0] https://manifold.markets

[1] https://polymarket.com

[2] https://kalshi.com/

[pants2]

Your best bet in the US is to use Polymarket with a VPN