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by davedx 642 days ago
“AI has peaked”

“AI is a bubble”

We’re still scratching the surface of what’s possible. I’m hugely optimistic about the future, in a way I never was in other hype/tech cycles.

2 comments

"AI" here refers to general intelligence. A highly specific ML model for radiology is not AI, but a new avenue for improvements in the field of computer vision.
So, hypothetically, a general-intelligence-capable architecture isn't allowed to specialize in a particular task without losing its GI status? I.e. trained radiologists wouldn't be a general intelligence? E.g. their ability to produce text is really just a part of their radiologist-function to output data, right?
It's impossible for humans to know a lot about everything, while LLMs can. So an LLM that sacrifices all that knowledge for a specific application is no longer an AI, since it would show its shortcomings more obviously.
They're still very bounded systems (not some galaxy brain) and training them is expensive. Learning tradeoffs have to be made. The tradeoffs are just different than in humans. Note that they're still able to interact via natural language!
The world’s shittiest calculator powered by a coin battery is an AI. I think you’re being overly narrow or confusing it with AGI
What, no it doesn’t, that’s “AGI” - it has a G in it. This is ML/AI
When did "AI" become "general intelligence"?
It's a bike shed. It's easier to argue the definition or terminology than the technology, so it's the thing people go for.
They're still going to charge the same amount (or more). At best this will divert money from intelligent, hard working physicians into sv tech bros who dropped out of undergrad (while putting patient lives at higher risk).