[abss]

Yes, details matter. The whole idea of creating AGI that is simultaneously a generalist seems more and more like wishful thinking. The reality is that to solve real problems, a large number of correct reasoning steps are required, along with the ability to make choices about which type of inference is useful at each step to avoid the explosion of complexity inherent in any brute-force approach. This suggests that we will have AI experts in different domains, perhaps superior to humans, but we will have thousands or even millions of narrow areas of expertise. To create something akin to an all-knowing superintelligent deity, we would need to combine thousands of experts, which would also consume unsustainable amounts of energy. I wouldn't bet on AGI in the coming years; it's just hype and distracts the discussion until big money finds a way to establish monopolies. However, if both UX and reasoning expertise require deep customization and specialization, we have a real chance to use AI to solve deep social problems rather than transforming society into a dystopia where humans are morally and intellectually surpassed, and those remaining are controlled by corporations that could at any moment be taken over by sociopaths.