[chemmail]

I think the only case I can think of where AI will revolutionize positively is self driving cars. Revolutionizing transport will have huge implication. The next thing would be robots, but that's just making people lazy in the household and replacing jobs. Crypto, voice assistants, IoT, smart homes, are bad examples are these have a great chance to grow more still. They will probably replace smartphones as smartphones did with PCs.

[steveBK123]

I semi-purposely left out self driving cars, and the revolution it has/is/will provide again.. remains to be seen. Waymo is nearly a 20 year old project at this point and is seemingly quite great in 2 cities, serving ~1% of the US population. These cities also happen to be in warm climates so theres a whole slew of environments / "edge cases" they just don't have to deal with. Maybe 20 more years?

So it's both outperformed what pessimists might have said (never work) and vastly underperformed what the median enthusiast projected (it's always just a few years away). I'd wager we are still teaching teens how to drive even 20 years from now.

LLMs are ~7 years old, so maybe another decade to being useful if we go by self driving cars learning rate?