[daveevad]

> - Starliner leaving ISS autonomously early September

What shall we make of all of this should it succeed?

[tlb]

Suppose they’ve estimated the risk of failure (and killing the astronauts) as 10%. Then

- returning Starliner empty is the correct decision

- a successful return doesn’t indicate they were wrong about the risk

- the experts will learn a lot more from poring over mission data