[Smaug123]

I'd love to see this operationalised as concrete predictions, as one might find on a prediction market! Do you have any specific predictions about programming next year?

I ask (for example) because I suspect shitting out CRUD apps is cheaper via LLM than via human now, and I guess probably most programming work is of that nature, but there are programmers out there whose job is not shitting out CRUD apps, and it's not clear from your statement whether you intend the sentiment to cover those programmers too.

[allisdust]

The answer lies in your question. I foresee consolidation in programming languages and frameworks with compact and well known ones edging out esoteric and niche ones. In a couple of years of time, I predict that there will be new languages specifically targeting LLMs that aren't as human readable but extremely compact similar to byte code (compactness is preferred due to context size limitation not fully going away).

So in a nutshell I feel like most things will be LLM generated with human focus mostly around systems boundary stitching with focus on extreme cases like quant and medical domains where human oversight might be needed.