Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by wdwvt1 676 days ago
The direct role that university research plays in drug development is overstated. The majority of cost and difficulty in pharma is _drug development_ not _drug discovery_. Pharma can do the discovery and the development, academics can only do the development. Absent academia, we'd have less drugs. Absent pharma we'd have no drugs.

Academics focus on drug discovery because it's better aligned with academic incentives and timelines (see this commentary for a brief description [0]). Drug development costs (including clinical trials, extensive and repeated med chem, etc) are borne mostly by drug companies.

Fair data on this is hard to come by because the two main sources have clear conflicts of interest (academics and pharma industry publications). One study Derek covered before (data from 1995-2007) shows only 24% of drug scaffolds were first found at a university and transferred to a biotech or pharma for development [1]. You can break this down further to highlight any story you want to support ('university ID'd drugs more innovative' vs. 'pharma ID'd drugs help more people') but they key point is that combining all the US research leads to only 24% of drug scaffolds that make it to market.

I think everyone acknowledges that outside of finding the scaffolds and the basic biology, pharma is paying the vast majority of clinical trial costs. [2] gives a figure of total NIH funding of clinical trials at 10% of overall (e.g. pharma covers 90%).

I think an argument could be made that the NIH training grants (which pay grad students in the biomedical sciences) subsidize the work force substantially, and might have a higher impact than direct research grants. I couldn't find quantitative data on this with a quick search, but I think this is often overlooked in the discussion.

Finally, a less quantitative pieces make me think the impact of the NIH/government funding is overstated even given the above numbers. In my own field (microbiome), academic research has been almost inimical to the production of quality drugs. For every disease there exists a paper suggesting that a certain gut microbe changes the likelihood/severity/X about that disease. Academic labs have incentives to publish significant results fast, and in the microbiome this has led to a) abysmal signal to noise ratio with very high likelihood of failure to replicate, and b) an epistemic closure about what types of microbiome data matter and how they should be pursued as drugs that is totally divorced from the reality of how drugs are developed. Much of the knowledge base is polluted by low-quality research that has been done for the purpose of publishing. While the NIH spends ~40 billion a year on external research grants [3], I think you have to heavily discount this for the amount of just pure "grad student needs to graduate gotta publish" material that gets produced.

[0] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10812233/ [1] https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/where-drugs-come-n... [2] https://www.fiercebiotech.com/research/report-industry-not-n... [3] https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/what-we-do/budget