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by kleton 685 days ago
Different people could look at the same clip and assign different probabilities to P(ballot stuffer) vs P(Family ballot courier). It would depend on your Bayesians priors. If a person from a high trust society like Sweden or Finland were to see this video, they might have a prior expectation of someone being helpful. Whereas there are much lower trust societies in the world where that would not be the case.

We've gone from "haven't seen evidence" to "seen evidence at probability P-prime". Trust in an electoral system is an important enough issue that this should be investigated to the same thorough degree as a capital crime.

1 comments

You're entitled to your own opinions, but not your own facts. Delivering absentee ballots on behalf of other people is not ballot box stuffing. Taking a clip of something completely mundane and attributing imagined facts and motives to it is not evidence of a stolen election. There is still an audit trail for all of those ballots from registration, to requesting the absentee ballot, to printing, and to shipping. Where are the people claiming they lost their absentee ballots and getting flagged as double-voting because someone took their ballot? This is according to all available data a made-up problem by people who are clearly worried that the "wrong" demographic is going to vote against their candidates of choice.