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by Noumenon72 679 days ago
You can't answer "Have any famous tests replicated?" with "out of 100 studies from the year 2008, 36% replicated" unless one of those studies was actually famous.
2 comments

True, I'm not going to read through the list and decide if any of them are famous for him.
> You can't answer

Only if you're a frequentist. A Bayesian would see evidence that studies in general fail to replicate, and thus have a better prior for famous ones than 50:50.

As an aside, such lines of argument regarding credence are not in any way incompatible with frequentism. Few frequentists deny the correctness of Bayes’ theorem.