Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by gtmitchell 698 days ago
As someone whose early scientific career was destroyed by null results, no. No one will publish your negative results. Unless you win the lottery and stumble across a once-in-a-generation negative result (e.g. the Michelson–Morley experiment), any time you spend working on research that yields negative results is essentially wasted.

This article completely glosses over the fact that to publish a typical negative result, you need to have progressed your scientific career to the point where you are able to do so. To get there, you need piles of publications, and since publishing positive results is vastly easier than publishing negative ones, everyone is incentivized to not waste time on the negative ones. You either publish or you perish, after all.

Simply put, within the current framework of how people actually become scientists and do research, there is no way to solve the 'file drawer' problem. You might see an occasional graduate student find something unusual enough to publish, or an already-tenured professor with enough freedom to spend the time submitting their manuscript to 20 different journals, but the vast majority of scientists are going to drop any research avenue that doesn't immediately yield positive results.