[WhitneyLand]

Yes it’s a big lesson, not so much in noticing other examples in the past but in thinking critically about present day conjectures yet to be resolved.

So many smart, credible people build up lines of thinking (a necessary step and best that can be done presently) around subjects. These get discussed, reported on, worked with, and very easily become conventional wisdom. Yet so often they turn out to be way off course.