Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by falcor84 706 days ago
> If GPT-5 is just another "it gets it right sometimes" dice-roll machine then it won't matter how many modalities it has. It will be DOA

Every single thing and every single person can be seen as a "dice-roll machine"; when I give even a senior engineer a task to take on this sprint, there's a significant chance they won't complete it that sprint (and it might just have been infeasible at all). At the end, all work boils down to the project management triangle (On Time, On Spec, On Budget - choose two), and the better the AIs get, the more tradeoffs we can choose from and the more and more we'll gradually be using them, regardless of whether we'd able to ever trust them to complete a task perfectly 100% of the time.

1 comments

If you want to be reductive, then sure. But even then, "superhuman intelligence" in this case literally means not being a dice-roll. I do not understand how you can pitch AGI without solving the hallucination problem, you might as well be selling people a random-number-generator that can do math with entropy.