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by f0e4c2f7 704 days ago
When I was a kid there was this new thing that came out called Wikipedia. I couldn't convince anyone it was useful though because they pointed out it was wrong sometimes. Eventually they came around though.

AI is like that right now. It's only right sometimes. You need to use judgement. Still useful though.

2 comments

I feel like this fails on the premise that the models can be improved to the point where they are reliable. I don't know that holds true. It is extremely uncommon that making a system more complex makes it more reliable.

In the rare cases where more complexity produces a more reliable system, that complexity is always incremental, not sudden.

With our current approach to deep neural networks and LLMs, we missed the incremental step and jumped to rodent brain levels of complexity. Now, we are hoping that we can improve our way to stability.

I don't know of any examples where that has happened - so I am not optimistic about the chances here.

The difference right now is that many people are paying for it. It feels odd to pay for something that could give wrong answers.