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by SideburnsOfDoom
720 days ago
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We know that tech adoption follows an s-curve that is only exponential in the lower parts. No-one is claiming truly unbounded exponentials for these techs. The thing is that they have been exponential so far. clean energy forecasts based on linear trends, not on doubling of installations or on halving of prices have been consistently too pessimistic. We can expect this to continue for a short while longer, until inflection points are reached. |
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