[tetris11]

Yeah but the people reskilled into other demanding jobs that still needed people.

With AI, the demand for that skillset is diminishing as is the need for people at all.

We're heading towards a Solaria situation, where the rich genuinely might no longer need to employ the masses, or sell them products. What would you do if you had a magic box that met all your needs? Pay a consultant? Hire a gardener? Call a maid? Request an escort? Why.

[LorenzoBloedow]

AI is not and most likely will not be a "magic box that meets all your needs" in at least 1000 years unless something insane happens, AI does function approximation, when you scale it up it can do amazing things but you still need human creativity, you still need engineers because it can only output data not act on real-world stuff, you still need data that is generated by humans, you still need to train every model for your specific task, and tasks are infinite.

If we wanted to replace humans we'd have to fully figure out how the human brain works first, for now no one knows how the human brain truly works so how can we claim AI will replace all humans?

In my opinion, AGI is just an acronym pushed by people who have something to gain from mass hysteria, FOMO, and making people feel like "the end is near", AKA, AI influencers and founders who want investors to give them money.

Of course, this doesn't mean everyone who believes in AGI is one of the two, most were probably just fed this narrative and it sounded believable so they just went with it.

These are my two cents, sorry for the wall of text :P, but I just had to say something about what I perceive as an "AI bubble" that generates mass panic for most in order to benefit a few

[tetris11]

Many of the day-to-day tasks that keeps people regularly employed are not creative tasks, but repetitive and predictable.

[LorenzoBloedow]

Sure, repetitive tasks may get replaced in the short time depending on the complexity, but, the way I see it, there will always be a human need, new jobs of higher complexity and creativity will be created, and maybe there will be less jobs overall, but predictable jobs being replaced always happen with new advances in technology, whether that's a good thing or not :)

[tetris11]

> always be a human need

In what quantity though? In Willy Wonka, when Charlie's dad got laid off at the toothbrush factory and was later rehired as the sole toothbrush automation inspector, what happened to his colleagues? Bigger and better things? Unlikely, unless their kids also suddenly inherited chocolate factories.

It's a decimation of the workforce, and we're still climbing the population curve.

[andsoitis]

> What would you do if you had a magic box that met all your needs? Pay a consultant? Hire a gardener? Call a maid? Request an escort? Why.

Because that magic box is… magic, fantasy.