[tim333]

He does quite a lot of dates and some are pretty accurate. Computers winning chess he predicted one year later than it happened. Turing test he predicted 2029 and while not very clearly defined I'd say that is happening about now.

[Spod_Gaju]

Predicting those things are kind of easy if you have the background in the technology that he does. But the singularity? How can you compare that to computers winning chess?

[tim333]

I just looked at what he says in the new book and he has:

>Eventually nanotechnology will enable these trends to culminate in directly expanding our brains with layers of virtual neurons in the cloud. In this way we will merge with AI and augment ourselves with millions of times the computational power that our biology gave us. This will expand our intelligence and consciousness so profoundly that it’s difficult to comprehend. This event is what I mean by the Singularity.

Seems kind of wacky to me. I've always believed in Moore's law type stuff but not the nanobots which have been long hypothesised but pretty non existent.