[inglor_cz]

"and the more information we have, the more likely we are to be able to extrapolate our capabilities"

I don't believe that. Major progress usually comes from entirely new technologies, not from continuous development of the already known ones.

You wouldn't be able to extrapolate current IT sector from the state of things in 1924, because the transistor, the crucial building block for really heavy computation, wasn't around.

Same with people in 1824 trying to predict current civil aviation from their state-of-the-art balloons.

[Vecr]

There's a lot of extrapolation going on already. It's like if you speculated an evil demon as running a VR simulation in the year 1900, more powerful than current computers. No knowledge of transistors needed. On the level of math and physics, there are new discoveries, but they don't come that often for the kind of thing big enough to help in this case.