[WheelsAtLarge]

I can see a situation where multiple AI systems will be connected to simulate human intelligence so you can ask it any question and it will have an answer. It will also be able to outline a whole project into a plan that people can follow. In that sense, it will be smarter. That's a 100% chance. It's a way to easily access the world's knowledge. Search engines are on their way out. Google search will eventually be a relic.

But will it be AGI? No. That's a close to 0% chance, not 0 but close in the next 20 years.

[whateverevetahw]

Could it be possible that nothing it truly conscious? Maybe we're all cogs in the wheel of a giant chemical reaction? In the future, someone may build a robot with a ChatGPT brain, and maybe that will be what passes for as AGI. I haven't found any human endeavor that adequately explains consciousness. Consciousness and intelligence are probably two different things. AI is not conscious, and its intelligence varies, sometimes being very stupid, and sometimes being very smart. It's a system inside of another system.