[crote]

How do you distinguish between minor earthquakes which are followed by major earthquakes, and minor earthquakes which aren't followed by major ones?

The rule-of-thumb is that there are in the order of 10.000 3 Mw earthquakes for every single 7 Mw earthquake. How do you decide which 9.900+ ones to discard? How are you going to distinguish a critical precursor from a 2.3 Mw Taylor Swift concert[0]?

[0]: https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/27/entertainment/taylor-swif...

[max47]

How do you expect someone to come up with a good answer to that question with proper sources to back them up if this subject is blacklisted and no one can get grants or ressources to do the research? Maybe there is a pattern that can predict it, but we won't know if the people who have access to all of the data and knowledge are being told it will kill their career if they try to find the answers.