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by JohnFen 735 days ago
> How can you so confidently assert that?

Because I've seen no strong reason to think otherwise. However, everyone -- myself included -- is just guessing here. I could certainly be wrong. As could the ones of the opposite opinion.

> AI just needs to beat humans at AI research to start compounding it's growth in performance.

That's assuming that it's possible to create an AGI at all given our current direction. I seriously doubt that it is. Time will tell, though.