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by PheonixPharts 737 days ago
I would agree except the gap between what's realistically cool about LLMs (make tons of traditional NLP tasks easier/better) and what people are hyping them up to be (potentially world ending sentient beings) is so tremendously large it essentially guarantees an AI winter despite the fact LLMs represent a major advancement in practical SotA.

It also does concern me how basically nobody is building a real product around the current state of "AI", but are rather hinging their success on what they believe it will be in the near future.

2 comments

> what's realistically cool about LLMs

This morning I met an newspaper article: "What will be the results of the European elections? Let us ask ChatGPT".

Newspapers have a long-standing tradition of exactly the same disconnection from reality that LLMs get flak for.

https://benwheatley.github.io/blog/2024/03/19-14.53.05.html

Very nice article, Ben.

But see, being it a given from experience that humans can be so bad in judgement, reasoning, professionalism, output... Why did we strive for superhuman judgement, reasoning, professionalism, output? (The same way we strived for superhuman strength.)

Thanks.

> Why did we strive for superhuman judgement, reasoning, professionalism, output?

Lots of possible reasons; there's many ways for it to be valuable.

(And it's not like the newspapers are deliberately writing fiction, with notable exceptions like The Onion).

If it's a rhetorical question, I'd be interested to know what you had in mind :)

Although it seems looking at the article it said there were significant gains for right-wing parties, so it did end up being right on that one!
If ML froze for the next ten years, we'd still be integrating everything we'd have today. The current progress of today has already reached a minimum threshold of quality.
100% - the current SOTA with the right implementation can already replace a lot of contact center work, give us a real-life J.A.R.V.I.S. and make video games where your decisions actually influence the story in a wildly meaningful way.
I've noticed that some korean restaurants are already doing really excellent customer ordering agents over the phone.