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by counters 740 days ago
There are a few groups working on leveraging observations more directly in the ML forecast models and skipping over the assimilation/analysis step. However, unlike the original ML forecasting problem (which, let's be honest - was grossly over-simplified by the existence of ERA-5, which has been treated as "ground truth" for the atmosphere and used to teach models how to simply go from state at t=1 to state at t=1+\delta t), there's reason to believe that incorporating the observations will be substantially more difficult, given the complexity and bounty of the observations themselves and the challenge of framing a tractable, useful ML problem on top of them.