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by fishpen0 741 days ago
Gambling vs Guarantee. I've lost options or unvested RSU 3 times to companies suddenly rolling over, getting acquired, or doing layoffs. Of the two times I've hit it and actually had them pay out, one payed out at only 1/3 of the original valuation of the equity and one only paid out for two quarters before we were acquired.

Take the pay increase vs the equity every time. Plus by changing 5 times, I diversified my equity on more companies and ensured something hit at least a little.
1 comments
sashank_1509 741 days ago
RSU’s most of the time are not gambling. You’re talking about gambling in startups (or small companies ) that can get acquired, run out of funds etc. Tech layoffs, people don’t realize that after the dot com crash this might be the first time layoffs happened at big tech companies (even then Apple and NVIDIA didn’t layoff).

Not taking RSU’s in these tech companies is a very bad idea financially, I like to think of it as equivalent cash. You can always sell your RSU immediately to get cash. But another advantage is when you individually invest in stocks, you rarely have a large fund into 1 stock, you probably diversify into index funds. This gives you consistent returns but leaves no shot at making a fortune. In my experience RSU’s as by default are fully invested into the 1 company you’re working for, give you that outsized return opportunity. Just ask employees at snowflake, NVIDIA, Tesla. Heck even MSFT RSU’s have doubled in value every couple of years and Amazon had insane growth from 2010 to 2022, where if you had gotten equivalent in cash you would be more than 10 times poorer than someone who just held Amazon RSU’s. Yes putting large amounts in 1 stock is risky, but not nearly as risky as you make it sound to be.

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fishpen0 741 days ago
> You can always sell your RSU immediately to get cash.

This is not true at all. My current company is privately held and has RSUs. Over the last two years there has been a single buyback and it was at a fixed closed market price and we were limited to selling 10% of our vested RSUs. Lots of startups flipped to RSUs with no plan to go public or be bought out in the last few years.

Additionally, even if your company is stable RSUs are frought with issues like what happened two orgs ago where a blackout period started and our stock went into a 30% free fall during the blackout and never recovered. We ended up getting a tender offer, the company sold to private equity and unvested shares were clawed back

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sashank_1509 740 days ago
Private company RSU’s are a different ballgame entirely. They are essentially paper money and I would classify them under startups.

Yeah I’d agree for a more risky venture, cash is better (unless you are in a gambling mood), I’d disagree that being true for FAANG or any of the 100 billion + tech companies (Airbnb, Uber, snowflake, Palo Alto networks etc)

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