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by ramblerman 737 days ago
I predict

- a steady increment of GPT-n+1 every 6 months for marketing purposes.

- each will improve on the last by smaller and smaller margins.

- hallucinations won't be fixed anytime soon.

- We will hit a bit of a winter, as the hype was so big but like self driving cars the devil is in the details. The general public realizes these things are just essentially giving us averages.

- A big market will emerge around "authenticity" and "verified texts" as the internet continues to get flooded with AI generated content.

1 comments

> - a steady increment of GPT-n+1 every 6 months for marketing purposes.

You already failed then, gpt4 was released more than a year ago

Reasonable assumption would be from now moving forward. Last release was gpt-4o.

But there is little to engage with in your comment, I'd be most curious to explore on what u believe it's capacities might be, and societal impact.

- Reasonable assumption would be from now moving forward. Last release was gpt-4o.

No, it is not reasonable to start with a minor release. Only if you want to stretch things to fit a narrative. Which we are free to disagree.

If you check other comments, I have talked about what I believe are their capacities and social impact. Downgrading it and calling the next major releases a marketing stunt is a opinion that we are fine to disagree, no?

Tbh n+1 is pretty unambiguous, brand new models and not something like 3 to 3.5-turbo or 4 to 4o
hence the "predict", not "infer"
No. They've definitely been rolling out silent releases and in-between releases since GPT4.