[rurp]

I think in most cases it's wrong to treat HN opinion as a monolith, including in this case. There certainly are a lot of people here who think that LLMs are overhyped, but there are also many who find the current tools useful and expect them to improve dramatically in the near future. I think most people have a more nuanced view though.

There is without a doubt a lot of marketing and hype bullshit around AI right now, but that doesn't mean that there aren't reasons to be optimistic about LLM capabilities.

I do think that the strong divergence of opinions among knowledgeable people is interesting. No matter what your position is on this topic, there are smart people arguing against it. The thing I'm most confident about is that anyone being overly confident is likely to be wrong.

[dgfitz]

> The thing I'm most confident about is that anyone being overly confident is likely to be wrong.

So does this mean you're wrong? This sentence really amused me.

[tines]

No, his is a second-order statement that applies to first-order statements. It's not intended to apply to second-order statements.